Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, September 25, 2016 at 6:32PM

It Has Begun...

The transition to more Fall-like temperatures is in the works, but it wasn't even across the board Sunday. A subtle front worked south from Virginia bisecting the foothills with a 10 degree temperature spread from north to south. At least it's a sign of things to come.

Tuesday, a stronger cold front makes a pass with scattered showers developing ahead of the front Monday afternoon continuing into the nighttime hours. We'll take the rain, but rainfall amounts aren't overly exciting. Temperatures fall step-wise a few degrees each day through Thursday... you will be reaching for a jacket a few mornings from now.

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Sunday Hi: 83 Lo: 64 Isolated evening showers; Partly to mostly cloudy; Light NE wind

Monday Hi: 80 Lo: 61 Patchy AM fog; Mostly cloudy; Scattered PM & nighttime showers; Maybe a thundershower; Light South wind

Tuesday Hi: 78 Lo: 53 Partly to mostly cloudy; Cannot rule out a lingering daytime shower; Much cooler at night; Light NW wind

Wednesday Hi: 75 Lo: 51 Mostly sunny; Noticeably cooler & less humid

Thursday Hi: 69 Lo: 50 Lots of sunshine; Perfect

Further Out

Friday - Mostly sunny; Refreshing; High in the lower 70s; Low in the lower 50s
Saturday - Sunny & delightful; High in the mid 70s; Low in the lower 50s

Forecast Discussion

High pressure centered over New England briefly wedges down the eastern slopes of the Appalachians Monday. Increased cloud cover will knock temps down a few more degrees. Meanwhile, a stronger cold front approaches from the west leading to scattered afternoon showers continuing into the nighttime hours. The front passes Tuesday though a lingering daytime shower or two remains possible.

Behind the front a persistent northwest flow ushers in considerably cooler air. Cool enough that we'll reverse the trend from above average warmth to well below seasonal temperatures by Thursday.

Side note- an upper level low that will help promote the cool turnaround may meander far enough south to bring more than just cooler days. Right now we have a dry forecast beyond Tuesday. However, if the low becomes displaced towards the southern Appalachians we'd have to introduce a few days of rain late in the week. We wouldn't complain about the rain, but it would require wholesale changes to the forecast...

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