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Current Conditions
Morg-Len Apt

Temp: 64.0°F
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Morganton-Lenoir Airport , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, October 30, 2014 at 12:59PM

Quiet Today; Tricky for Halloween

High pressure will give western NC nice, but cool fall weather today. Friday starts out quiet as well, but it won’t end that way. A potent storm system swings through Friday night and Saturday bringing rain showers (possibly mixed with snow in a few spots) and breezy / colder conditions. We even had to dust off the ole Snoman-O-Mometer for the potential of a dusting of snow across parts of the northern Foothills. Get all the details on this system in the discussion section below.

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Hi: 67 Lo: 38

Sunny skies; Cooler; Light north wind

Hi: 63 Lo: 37

Increasing clouds; Rain showers develop late-day & especially, Fri. night; (rain may mix with snow); Light wind becoming NW 5-15 mph late

Hi: 48 Lo: 33

AM rain (possibly mixing with or briefly changing to snow, mainly north); Decreasing clouds late; Breezy & colder; NW wind 10-20 mph & gusty

Hi: 55 Lo: 31

Sunny skies; Continued cool

Hi: 60 Lo: 37

Sunny skies

Further Out

Tuesday - Partly cloudy; High in the mid 60s; Low in the lower 40s
Wednesday - Increasing clouds; Showers possible Wed. night; High in the upper 60s; Low in the upper 40s

Forecast Discussion

High pressure centered over the Ohio Valley will make for a pleasant, but cool, day across western NC. With the high overhead tonight and light winds, temperatures will drop down about 5 degrees or so below normal. Quiet weather then continues for most of the day Friday, but increasing clouds in the afternoon will be a sign that the next storm system is on its way.

While there remains some uncertainty with this system, the details are becoming clearer. We have made a few changes since yesterday’s forecast. A few rain showers may develop as early as late Friday afternoon, but the better coverage comes Friday night into Saturday morning. At the same time, cold air associated with the system will begin to filter in from the NW. This may allow for some snow to mix in with the rain at times Friday night (after Midnight), especially north of I-40. This part of the forecast remains unchanged from yesterday.

Saturday morning, though, is where we made some changes. This system will have very cold air aloft (ie. higher up in the atmosphere) and the question is how much of that cold air will reach us here at the ground level. If the system can pull enough cold air down to the ground, then a few locations north of I-40 may actually briefly change to all snow. The favored areas in the setup at this time appear to be Wilkes and Surry Counties and it is there that a dusting of snow can’t be ruled out if we do, in fact, get a brief changeover. It should be noted that even if there is a complete changeover, the ground is very warm from the 70’s and 80’s we had earlier this week, so accumulations will be harder to come by and will be limited to grassy areas / elevated surfaces. Also of note, along/south of I-40, a few flakes may mix in at times, but we do not anticipate a complete changeover there nor do we anticipate any accumulations at this time. But, because of the potential for a dusting for the northern Foothills, we are officially dusting off the Snoman-O-Mometer today. The other story Saturday will be the breezy and downright colder conditions as we head into the first weekend of November.

Temperatures will begin to moderate by Sunday, though, and get back closer to seasonable levels by early next week. The next front arrives late Wednesday with a chance of rain showers.


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